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Market Moment

Grains results for All Months from All Years

Seasonality.  What does it say?

Published on Tuesday, October 9, 2018

When some hear about seasonal tendencies, their mind moves towards planting, or weather, or harvest or more generally about ideas that surround the natural occurrences with a crop through the course of a calendar year.  We apply that same mode to markets and what often happens at different times of the year.  Seasonally, we come out of the winter doldrums, move through potential planting...

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A Deal is Struck

Published on Monday, October 1, 2018

On Sunday evening just before the midnight deadline, a new trilateral trade agreement between the U.S. and two of our largest trade partners was reached.  The U.S. – Mexico – Canada Agreement or USMCA for short, replaces the 24-year-old NAFTA agreement.  USMCA encompasses over 1 trillion dollars annually in trade between the three countries. Highlights include greater access for the U.S....

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Storing Soybeans

Published on Monday, September 24, 2018

It is a busy time for everyone these days, so we will keep our comments short and straight to the point.  Yield reports across the country point towards another very large crop.  Hoppers are full with what will most likely be the biggest yield in history.  And as we busy ourselves with the business of harvest, let us not lose sight of the business of good marketing. To that end, on...

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Corn & Soybeans....Technically Speaking

Published on Monday, September 17, 2018

A fair amount of time and energy are spent dissecting the fundamentals (raw supply and demand features such as yield, acres, exports, usage, etc.) of agricultural markets.  This time of the year especially, yield is all the chatter.  Conversations are dominated by this year's field performance vs. last year vs. the neighbor vs. the test plot, etc. etc... But that is not the entirety of ...

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USDA release of September WASDE

Published on Thursday, September 13, 2018

Yesterday's report discussion was dominated by corn.  The average trade guess expected yield to fall to 177.8 bpa.  This is obviously less than the August report estimate of 178.4 bpa.  Even at the highest guess of 180 bpa, analysts fell well short of the 181.3 bpa that the USDA now estimates the US crop to be.  Bulls were caught and markets sliced a dime off corn values i...

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