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Market Moment

Grains results for All Months from All Years

Will it or Won't it?

Published on Monday, July 2, 2018

With the Acreage report behind us, most years officially usher in the beginning of a conversation consisting almost entirely of summer weather.  That is not the case this year, however.  Markets are fixed on one thing.....the ongoing threat of POTENTIAL tariffs against the Chinese...and their retaliation to those tariffs.  They are only potential because they have yet to be imp...

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USDA Report Highlights & July 4th Market Hours

Published on Friday, June 29, 2018

The stocks report provided very little by way of surprises.  Corn stocks were up 1% from June 2017. Prior to the report's release, analysts expected the number to total 5.276 Billion bushels. The USDA put forward a figure of 5.31 Bbu. Soybean estimates were very much in line with expectations at 1.22 Bbu, just 16 million more than the average guess. All wheat stocks were 7...

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Bulls become Bears

Published on Monday, June 25, 2018

Over the course of the winter, our discussions pointed out the large short position held in the grain complex by fund managers.  The rally that ran throughout spring and into the end of May was largely constructed by those very same managers looking for an exit from those positions and an entry into a long position.  The chatter of late planting, shortened acres, stressed South American ...

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Tensions Escalate and Markets Tumble

Published on Tuesday, June 19, 2018

An escalating tit for tat trade spat once again has caused commodity markets lower this morning.  In the newest round of announcements, President Trump threatened to impose a 10 percent tariff on $200 billion of Chinese goods.  Expecting a fight in return overnight, markets tumbled with December corn setting new contract lows and November soybeans inking a low within 5 cents of sub ...

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Washington, Weather, and Wealth

Published on Monday, June 11, 2018

For weeks, the market has been hanging on every word that has come from Washington.  Trade deals are off and on and off again about as frequently as a new Tweet hits the Twittersphere.  There can be no discount given to the significance of trade.  As deals have softened or soured, there has been little by way of consolation for markets. Weather has been equally disruptive to market...

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