Market Moment
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Cattle Markets....Which Year Is It?
Published on Monday, August 6, 2018Amid the chaos of trade and tariff discussions, the cattle market has, almost on its own, been able to continue a rally that began mid-May. See October Live Cattle Chart below. Nearly $10/cwt have been added to prices since then in a channel formation that has been wrought with volatility. Nonetheless prices posted the highest close since St. Patrick's Day on Friday. F...
Learn MoreCOT Extremes
Published on Monday, July 30, 2018Each Friday, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) publishes the Commitment of Traders report. Any entity holding a position in corn of 1.25 million bushels or in soybeans or wheat of 750,000 bushels is required to report that position to the CFTC each week. The report publishes the data as of Tuesday of that same week. Additionally, the CFTC monitor...
Learn MoreTechnical Analysis and The Great $3.80
Published on Monday, July 23, 2018The months of June and July have been filled with ongoing fundamental discussions about global trade, tariffs, exports, yield, balance sheets, crop conditions, etc., etc., etc. While these are all very important pieces of information for us to consider as we work towards understanding markets and consequent price movements, the picture is still incomplete. There is another realm which ...
Learn MoreExpectations Revised
Published on Monday, July 16, 2018Corn prices continue to struggle. While we were hopeful that the market would heat up as did the weather, it appears those chances have all but dissipated. Reports continue to roll in projecting another great crop. While the USDA has yet to adjust their estimate on yield, currently 174 bpa, the expectation is that they will address this in an upcoming report. Private analysts hav...
Learn MoreWhat Weather?
Published on Monday, July 9, 2018The long mentioned tariffs officially and formally went into effect on Friday, July 6th. The US targeted $34 Billion of Chinese goods that will receive a 25% tariff. $16 Billion of goods remain as potential targets. The Chinese took their time to respond, but did answer with a proportionate tariff. Again, soybeans were the primary target. That said, there will be...
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